So, who’s got a chance at winning Super Bowl LIII?
With one week left in the 2018 NFL regular season, the betting odds for each team hoisting the Lombardi Trophy in February are becoming much clearer as the season enters its final week.
However, most of the AFC and NFC playoff spots are still up for grabs ahead of Week 17, and a lot could change after Sunday, Dec. 31. One thing is certain: 12 teams (6 AFC, 6 NFC) will be locked into the postseason in less than a week and only one team will win Super Bowl LIII.
Here are the latest Super Bowl odds including the change in odds from Week 16, the current playoff picture and all possible scenarios heading into Week 17, and all the Week 17 matchups (with current point spreads) that will close out the 2018 NFL regular season.
Odds to Win Super Bowl 53 – Before Week 17
Super Bowl 53 Odds provided by Bovada.
Teams Week 17 Odds Week 16 Odds Change (+/-)
New Orleans Saints +250 +260 -10
Los Angeles Rams +390 +425 -35
Kansas City Chiefs +450 +550 -100
New England Patriots +650 +700 -50
Chicago Bears +800 +800 0
Los Angeles Chargers +1200 +750 +450
Baltimore Ravens +1600 +2700 -1100
Dallas Cowboys +2500 +2700 -200
Houston Texans +2500 +1800 +700
Minnesota Vikings +2800 +4500 -1700
Seattle Seahawks +3300 +3800 -500
Indianapolis Colts +4000 +3300 +700
Pittsburgh Steelers +4000 +1800 +2200
Tennessee Titans +4000 +6000 -2000
Philadelphia Eagles +5000 +4000 +1000
Eliminated after NFL Week 16: Cleveland Browns, Carolina Panthers, Washington Redskins, Miami Dolphins
NFL Week 17 Playoff Picture and Possible Scenarios
Week 17 is a great time to find value in the Super Bowl odds since there are typically some teams hanging on for dear life that help the odds for the favorites. However, once these teams are eliminated, the value for the favorites go down significantly and will continue to fall throughout the playoffs.
Before the last week of the season kicks off, here is every possible scenario for all the NFL teams (listed from best to worst odds) that have a chance to qualify for the playoffs and potentially win the Super Bowl.
New Orleans Saints (+250)
The Saints have secured the NFC South, NFC No. 1 seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.
Los Angeles Rams (+390)
The Rams can clinch the NFC No. 2 seed and a first-round bye with:
- a win or tie
- Bears loss or tie
Kansas City Chiefs (+450)
The Chiefs can clinch the AFC West, AFC No. 1 seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with:
- a win
- a tie and a Chargers loss or tie;
- a Chargers loss + Patriots loss or tie + Texans loss or tie
- a Chargers loss + Patriots loss or tie + Chiefs clinch at least a tie in the strength of victory tiebreaker over Texans
The Chiefs can clinch the AFC West and a first-round bye with:
- Chargers loss + Patriots loss or tie
- Chargers loss + Texans loss or tie
- Chargers loss + Chiefs clinch at least a tie in the strength of victory tiebreaker over Texans
The Chiefs can clinch the AFC West with:
- Chargers loss
- a tie + Chargers tie
New England Patriots (+650)
The Patriots can clinch the AFC No. 1 seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with:
- a win + Chiefs loss + Chargers loss
The Patriots can clinch the AFC No. 2 seed and a first-round bye with:
- a win
- a tie + Texans loss or tie
- Ravens loss or tie + Texans loss + Titans loss or tie
Chicago Bears (+800)
The Bears can clinch the NFC No. 2 seed and a first-round bye with:
- a win + Rams loss
Los Angeles Chargers (+1200)
The Chargers can clinch the AFC West, AFC No. 1 seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with:
- a win + Chiefs loss or tie
- a tie + Chiefs loss
Baltimore Ravens (+1600)
The Ravens can clinch the AFC North, AFC No. 2 seed and a first-round bye with:
- a win + Patriots loss + Texans loss + Colts-Titans does not end in a tie
- a win + Patriots loss + Texans loss + Ravens clinch at least a tie in the strength of victory tiebreaker over Texans
The Ravens can clinch the AFC North with:
- a win
- Steelers loss
- a tie + Steelers tie
The Ravens can clinch a playoff berth with:
- a tie + Colts-Titans ends in a tie
Dallas Cowboys (+2500)
The Cowboys have secured the NFC East, NFC No. 4 seed and will have home-field advantage in the Wild Card round of the playoffs.
Houston Texans (+2500)
The Texans can clinch the AFC South, AFC No. 1 seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with:
- a win + Patriots loss or tie + Chiefs loss + Chargers loss + Texans clinch a tie in the strength of victory tiebreaker over the Chiefs
The Texans can clinch the AFC South, AFC No. 2 seed and a first-round bye with:
- a win + Patriots loss or tie
- a win + Chiefs loss + Chargers loss + Texans clinch a tie in the strength of victory tiebreaker over the Chiefs
- a tie + Patriots loss
- Colts-Titans ends in a tie + Patriots loss + Ravens win + Texans clinch a tie in the strength of victory tiebreaker over the Ravens
The Texans can clinch the AFC South with:
- a win or tie
- Colts-Titans ends in a tie
Minnesota Vikings (+2800)
The Vikings clinch a playoff berth with:
- a win or tie
- Eagles loss or tie
Seattle Seahawks (+3300)
The Seahawks have secured a playoff berth and can clinch the NFC No. 5 seed in the playoffs with:
- a win or tie
- Vikings loss or tie
Indianapolis Colts (+4000)
The Colts can clinch the AFC South with:
- a win + Texans loss
The Colts can clinch a playoff berth with:
- a win
- a tie + Steelers loss or tie
- a tie + Ravens loss
Pittsburgh Steelers (+4000)
The Steelers can clinch the AFC North with:
- a win + Ravens loss or tie
- a tie + Ravens loss
The Steelers can clinch a playoff berth with:
- a win + Colts-Titans ends in a tie
Tennessee Titans (+4000)
The Titans can clinch the AFC South, AFC No. 2 seed and a first-round bye with:
- a win + Texans loss + Patriots loss + Ravens loss or tie
The Titans can clinch the AFC South with:
- a win + Texans loss
The Titans can clinch a playoff berth with:
- a win
Philadelphia Eagles (+5000)
The Eagles can clinch a playoff berth with:
- a win + Vikings loss
Week 17 NFL Matchups – Point Spread
All 2018 NFL Week 17 matchups will be played on Sunday, Dec. 31. Below are kickoff times and the current point spreads for each of the NFL matchups that will cap off the regular season and decide which teams secure a playoff berth.
NFL Week 17 Point Spreads provided by Bovada.
Kickoff @ 1:00 p.m. ET
Cowboys (+6) @ Giants (-6)
Lions (+8) @ Packers (-8)
Jets (+13.5) @ Patriots (-13.5)
Falcons (+1.5) @ Buccaneers (-1.5)
Jaguars (+7.5) @ Texans (-7.5)
Dolphins (+3.5) @ Bills (-3.5)
Kickoff @ 4:25 p.m. ET
Cardinals (+13.5) @ Seahawks (-13.5)
Chargers (-6.5) @ Broncos (+6.5)
Bears (+5) @ Vikings (-5)
49ers (+10) @ Rams (-10)
Eagles (-7) @ Redskins (+7)
Bengals (+14.5) @ Steelers (-14.5)
Browns (+6) @ Ravens (-6)
Raiders (+13.5) @ Chiefs (-13.5)
Sunday Night Football Kickoff @ 8:25 p.m. ET
Colts (-3) @ Titans (+3)