Revisiting The Preseason Super Bowl Odds After 7 Weeks

Week 8 of the 2024-25 NFL season began last night with the Minnesota Vikings dropping their second game of the season to the LA Rams by a score of 30-20.

As the NFL schedule inches closer to the mid-season point for 2024-25, the differences in the Super Bowl odds for a few franchises are worth noting. Here is a comparison of the preseason futures with today’s odds for betting on each NFL team to win the Super Bowl.

Preseason Super Bowl 59 Futures (3/1/24) Current Super Bowl LIX Futures (10/25/24)
  • Kansas City Chiefs +450
  • San Francisco 49ers +600
  • Baltimore Ravens +1000
  • Buffalo Bills +1100
  • Detroit Lions +1200
  • Cincinnati Bengals +1400
  • Dallas Cowboys +1400
  • Green Bay Packers +1400
  • Philadelphia Eagles +1800
  • Miami Dolphins +2000
  • Houston Texans +2500
  • Los Angeles Chargers +2500
  • Los Angeles Rams +2500
  • New York Jets +2500
  • Cleveland Browns +3500
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +4000
  • Chicago Bears +4500
  • Atlanta Falcons +5000
  • Indianapolis Colts +5000
  • Minnesota Vikings +5500
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +6000
  • Seattle Seahawks +6500
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6500
  • New Orleans Saints +8000
  • Las Vegas Raiders +8500
  • Denver Broncos +10000
  • New England Patriots +10000
  • New York Giants +10000
  • Arizona Cardinals +12500
  • Washington Commanders +12500
  • Tennessee Titans +15000
  • Carolina Panthers +25000
  • Kansas City Chiefs +425 
  • Baltimore Ravens +550
  • Detroit Lions +800
  • Buffalo Bills +1000
  • San Francisco 49ers +1000
  • Green Bay Packers +1200
  • Houston Texans +1500
  • Minnesota Vikings +1600
  • Philadelphia Eagles +1600
  • Cincinnati Bengals +2800
  • Washington Commanders +3300
  • Atlanta Falcons +3500
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +3500
  • Seattle Seahawks +4500
  • Chicago Bears +5000
  • Dallas Cowboys +5000
  • Los Angeles Chargers +5500
  • New York Jets +5500
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6000
  • Los Angeles Rams +7500
  • Arizona Cardinals +8000
  • Indianapolis Colts +9000
  • Miami Dolphins +9000
  • Denver Broncos +10000
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +15000
  • New Orleans Saints +20000
  • New York Giants +40000
  • Cleveland Browns +50000
  • Las Vegas Raiders +50000
  • New England Patriots +50000
  • Tennessee Titans +50000
  • Carolina Panthers +100000

Even though they began the year as the Super Bowl favorites, the odds for betting on the Kansas City Chiefs have improved after their 6-0 start.

The San Francisco 49ers are 3-4 entering Week 8 and are still the second-ranked team in the NFC odds. They’ve dropped 600 points since preseason, and the Detroit Lions have taken over the top spot in the conference as well as in the Super Bowl futures.

The team that has fallen the furthest is the Cleveland Browns. They began the year with a hopeful +3500 moneyline, but they’ve gone down 46500 points to a desperate +50000.

The Browns were already struggling with Deshaun Watson at quarterback, and now he is out for the year with an Achilles tear.

The Washington Commanders are the league’s biggest risers. They began the year at +12500 and have risen 9200 points to +3300. They are 5-2 and have sole possession of the NFC East lead.

DC is benefiting immediately from the talents of their rookie quarterback, Jayden Daniels. He suffered a rib injury that kept him out of the second half in their Week 7 40-7 blowout against the Panthers in Week 7, but he is already back at practice as of yesterday.

The only franchise that has retained its preseason odds of winning SB LIX is the Denver Broncos. The odds on the Broncos seem a touch high because the current NFL Playoff picture places them as the final wild card team in the AFC.

The same can be said for the Chicago Bears, who are the 7th-rated team in the NFC, but their +5000 odds imply no real shot at a Lombardi this year.